With poll predictions at its peaks before the election season, Lokniti’s latest CSDS survey on assembly and Lok Sabha polls reveal that TDP will lead with a thumping majority. According to the CSDS survey, Telugu Desam Party will win between 126 to 135 seats in the assembly elections while it is predicted to win a majority of Lok Sabha seats between 18 to 22 seats of the total 25. Additionally, TDP’s vote share could increase to 46.2% in the state while that of the YSRCP could dip to 37.2% while Jana Sena’s vote share could stand at 9.6% in the state.
According to the survey, the reasons for TDP to do well are “people’s mood towards continuity of existing development, welfare and good governance.” Stating that confidence on leadership of AP Chief Minister N. Chandrababu Naidu as a reason, the survey explains that “there appears to be enormous confidence among public over Chandrababu Naidu’s leadership. He enjoys high credibility compared to his opponents like Jaganmohan Reddy and Pawan Kalyan. While Jaganmohan Reddy has a series of CBI cases against him ranging from quidpro to money laundering.”
Apart from this welfare schemes, Anna Canteen, Pasupu Kumkuma schemes, Annadata Sukhibhava, NTR Bharosa, Chandranna Bheema and other schemes have done the magic for the TDP, according to the CSDS survey. Adding to this list are capital development works, Polavaram Dam construction, other infra and investment projects in the state which have impressed the voters.
Meanwhile, survey states that YSR Congress may win a mere 40-50 assembly seats, much less than their current prediction of winning the election. The party, however, may restrict itself to 3 to 5 MPs seats as against its claims, states the survey. Surprisingly, the survey states that a weak Opposition is one of the main reasons for TDP to gain positive image among people. Main opposition party YSRCP is weak in credibility among people.
“There is trust deficit among Andhra voters vis-a-vis Jaganmohan Reddy. Adding to the injury, there are numerous cases against Reddy’s party leaders too. As a result, YSRCP is losing the support it garnered through Jagan’s padayatra. The recent murder of Reddy’s uncle, YS Vivekananda Reddy has only added fuel to the fire, increasing trust deficit over Jaganmohan Reddy’s leadership among people. Further, YSRCP has boycotted assembly since winter session of 2017. Effectively, for two years YSRCP MLAs have not participated in the assembly session.”
On the other hand, Jana Sena Party, which is contesting the elections for the first time in the state may win just 2 to 5 seats in the assembly elections but will not make a deposit in Lok Sabha polls, says the analysis adding that “Pawan Kalyan is yet to graduate as a politician.”
The CSDS survey makes a startling revelation about how Bharatiya Janata Party and Congress will not make deposits in both assembly as well as Lok Sabha polls. The Congress party which is trying its luck post clocking 0 seats after bifurcation may still remain at that while the survey clearly states that BJP’s loss of goodwill could be evident in the results.
According to the survey, highest number of voters in Andhra Pradesh belong to the rural areas which amount to 43% of them while semi-urban voters make up for 34% of voters while those from urban areas make up 24% of the total voters. Further, the highest number of voters (31%) in Andhra Pradesh belong to the 30-45 age group while those between 18-30 years of age make up for 24% of the total voters in the state. Those between 46-60 years of age make up for 23% while 22% of them are aged above 60 years of age in Andhra Pradesh.
Recent Random Post: